Climate Change: Are we running out of choices?
At a time of huge political uncertainty and apparent rapid change in public discourse I just wanted to remind you all of the recently agreed International Climate Change Accord.
From the Formby perspective it may seem unimportant but sometimes we need to be reminded we are a coastal town.
I found this animation illustrating the likely impact on our local coastline. It shows a variety of outcomes as the temperature climbs. I've simply added the 2-degree outcome, but visit the link provided to watch the full range of change calculated by the scientists involved.
(Click on the map to get a closer view)
This map shows sea levels locked in by different amounts of carbon pollution, according to recent scientific research. If we burn enough fossil fuels to heat the planet by 4°C—continuing a path of unchecked pollution—we could drown coastal cities worldwide. If we make a rapid transition to a global clean energy economy and achieve the main goal of the Paris Agreement, limiting warming to 2°C, some cities will be saved. If we go faster and further to achieve the most ambitious Paris goal, 1.5°C, the outlook improves dramatically. Still, it is sobering to map the challenges following after 1°C of warming, a level we have just passed.
According to Climate Central’s analysis, 470 to 760 million people (central finding, 627 million) live on land that would be condemned by 4°C warming. The number drops by more than half for 2°C, and more than half again for 1.5°C.
These two efforts evaluate how much warming we can currently expect in light of the national pledges made at Paris and the policies developed since then.
Note by the Map Producers:
Climate Central’s Program on Sea Level Rise strives to provide accurate, clear and granular information about sea level rise and coastal flood hazards both locally and globally, today and tomorrow. Anchored in rigorous primary research, our work distinguishes itself by its user-friendly maps and tools, extensive datasets, and high-quality visual presentation. The program dedicates its efforts to helping citizens, communities, businesses, organizations, and governments at every level to understand the consequences of different carbon pathways and to navigate the shifting waters of our warming world.
(Source of the map: https://www.beforetheflood.com/explore/the-crisis/sea-level-rise/)
The map suggests that long-term plans for more houses may be at risk and that if Fracking began in the area surrounding Formby it too, would be susceptible to interruption, to say the least.
The A565 would also be badly affected as well. Finally, to remind you, this image only illustrates the 2 Degree effect.